A couple of years back, I was talking with a distant relative from Dayton Ohio about their robotic factory at General Motors. The workers along with the robotic factory component process were able to complete SUVs from start to finish in less than 18 hours. In other words, a bunch of parts come into the building, and within 18 hours completed automobiles painted and everything roll out the door. That’s amazing. Now then, let’s talk about what this means for the future.
Indeed one of the jokes at the local coffee shop in Dayton Ohio, and I’m sure also in Detroit is; “have you lost your job to a robot yet?” In fact, how can a human compete with a robot car assembly unit? Let’s say there is a cost of $150,000 for the robot that does a given job. A worker might also be able to do that job, or let’s say three workers because the robot works very quickly. If each worker is paid $18 an hour, plus benefits including health care and what have you there is a significant cost. Of course the robot may only last two or three years, and it costs $150,000. Therefore, it has to attain a certain return on investment, otherwise it will not pay for itself, therefore, the factory would be better off to hiring human.
Now then, we have to throw in the cost of maintenance of the robot, and qualified software specialists, and the cost of energy to run it. If you are in China, and you are willing to work for a few dollars a day or less, you would still have a job, because the factory could hire 50 people and still come out ahead on the cost of a robot. Do you see the point? Therefore, if you want to keep your job the United States, you have to work for very low wages, or you need to be the technician who works on the robots, because we all know Murphy’s Law, and we know that anything that has moving parts will break, that includes robots, and when they do, someone has to fix it.
Now eventually there will be robots fixing robots, and robots making robots, but that’s not the case right now. For the next couple of decades you can be a robotic repair person, a software technician, or become a designer of robots, and you will have a high-paying job, even better than if you worked on the factory floor, with or without robots. Indeed, that’s the only way that I can see that you will be able to compete for a job in the “Winning the Future” or WTF economy or job market of the future. Indeed I hope you will please consider all this and think on it.